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According to a recent survey by EnergyTrend, a division of TrendForce, the first phase of the 2013 solar photovoltaic bidding in Taiwan concluded on February 6th. The data shows that the total eligible bids reached 52.4 MW, while the set target capacity for this round was 30 MW. However, the actual bid volume came in at 29.6 MW, very close to the limit, indicating intense competition in the market.
Companies participating in the auction noted that the initial phase saw limited enthusiasm due to the short time frame provided by the government for reviewing and implementing new tariff rates. Many firms were cautious, focusing on observing rate trends and average discount levels before deciding their strategy for the second phase. However, with reduced bidding capacity, significant price cuts, and increased manufacturer input, current bidders are in a strong position to win contracts.
EnergyTrend observed that companies are aggressively lowering prices to secure successful bids. The lowest discount rate reported in this round was around 3.8%, while some winning cases had discounts above 7%. The estimated average discount rate for this period is around 5%. Looking ahead, industry sources believe the 90 MW target for the year is likely to be fully allocated in the first half of 2013, leaving only a non-bidding market for the second half. Given the current conditions and return on investment (ROI), the overall willingness of companies to participate remains low.
In response, the Energy Administration is considering increasing subsidy capacity, though no official rules have been released yet. EnergyTrend predicts that no new capacity will be announced for bidders until the third quarter of the year.
On the spot market, demand from mainland Chinese manufacturers has weakened due to the annual holiday season and uncertainty over future policy changes. While some traders continue to raise quotes, prices in the domestic market remain stable between 130 RMB and 135 RMB per unit. In the wafer segment, top-tier manufacturers have gradually increased prices, prompting second- and third-tier plants to follow. The average price of polysilicon wafers rose to 5.9 RMB, while monocrystalline silicon wafers averaged around 8.0 RMB per piece.
Battery prices are also fluctuating slightly, currently ranging between 2.5 RMB and 3.2 RMB. On the international market, the spot price for first-tier polysilicon producers stands between 16.5 USD/kg and 18 USD/kg, although there's reluctance to sell. Second-tier plants show more price volatility, with an average of 16.923 USD/kg, up 0.01% from last week.
Polycrystalline silicon wafers remained at a low of 0.78 USD/piece, but the average price increased to 0.853 USD/piece, a 0.12% rise. Monocrystalline silicon wafers, particularly those cut using diamond wire, showed a slight gap in pricing, but both types saw increases, pushing the average to 1.178 USD/piece, up 0.17%. Battery prices also climbed, with the average reaching 0.359 USD/Watt, up 0.56%. Solar modules maintained a small upward trend, with an average price of 0.657 USD/Watt, reflecting a 0.61% increase.