China’s textile and apparel exports totaled $106.84 billion from January to May, reflecting a 3.6% year-on-year increase. Although the growth rate dropped by 10% compared to the same period last year, this marks a significant improvement from the beginning of the year. This is the third consecutive month where textile exports have shown steady growth, signaling positive momentum in the industry.
Despite the global economic recovery not meeting expectations, it has still improved from previous years. The international market remains relatively stable, and the export environment for textiles is generally favorable. As macroeconomic conditions improve, consumer demand is expected to rise, supporting continued recovery in export growth. While external factors remain important, internal structural changes in the industry also deserve attention.
First, the volume and price structure: raw material prices have declined, which has led to lower export prices. According to customs data, from January to April, textile and clothing export prices fell by 2.2% year-on-year, contributing negatively (-97%) to total export growth. However, when excluding price effects, the physical volume of exports increased by 4.5%, showing that the industry is still expanding in terms of quantity.
This year marked a shift from the long-term upward trend in textile prices since 2010. The drop in raw material prices, including cotton and chemical fibers, played a major role. Additionally, strong competition in international markets and the RMB’s depreciation have also influenced pricing strategies. With raw material prices expected to remain low, the impact of price on export growth is likely to stay minimal.
Second, the product structure: yarn and finished goods show mixed performance. Textile yarns, affected directly by raw material costs, saw a 10.9% drop in export prices from January to April. Despite an 8.9% increase in volume, the total value fell by 2.2%. In contrast, fabric prices remained stable, rising by 2.2%, but export volumes declined slightly due to weaker demand in ASEAN and other regions.
Clothing exports grew only 0.9% from January to April, impacted by a 4.2% drop in prices, with cotton garments falling as much as 13.3%. Meanwhile, industrial and domestic textile exports remained more stable, with a 7.1% year-on-year increase, driven equally by price and volume growth.
Third, the market structure: emerging markets are volatile, while developed markets are stabilizing. Exports to ASEAN fell sharply, rising only 1.7% year-on-year, down from a 59.2% drop compared to the same period last year. Apparel exports, which make up nearly 40% of total exports, fell by 11%, highlighting weak domestic demand in these regions. However, as developed economies recover, the ASEAN market may see improvement.
In contrast, the EU emerged as a bright spot, with a 15.1% increase in exports from January to April, driven by both price and volume growth. The U.S. market remained stable, with a 5.4% year-on-year increase in exports, slightly lower than the previous year.
Overall, the textile industry continues to adapt to changing market conditions, with growth driven by volume rather than price, and with certain markets showing stronger resilience than others.
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